Build note — visible on purpose. The interior tracks below are production placeholders,
not real annotation. In the shipping version, five women and five men watch this same scripted date and annotate it
independently, without seeing each other. Nobody on the production side writes what she was thinking. Until those
annotations exist, treat every reveal on this page as illustrative only.
One date. Two chairs.
You watch as a third party. At nine moments you commit a prediction before the reveal unlocks.
Nothing here scores whether the date went well — only how accurate you were, and how much you underestimated the
disagreement between five different people watching the same thing.
Daniel, 31 — last four weeks
Sent 214 likes
Matched with 9
Held a conversation with 4
This is the only one that became a date
Arrived 12 minutes early. Outside for 5 of them.
Maya, 29 — last four weeks
Received roughly 340 likes
Opened 60
Replied to 11
This is the third date. The first two went nowhere.
Texted a friend the venue and his photo before leaving.
Same table. Opposite priors. Neither can see the other's column.
Commit a prediction
Your spread
—gates where your prediction matched the most common annotation
—Spread Index — how wide you expected the disagreement to be, against how wide it was
Five people, not a sample
Ten annotators demonstrate that disagreement exists. They cannot estimate how much.
Nothing on this page is a population statistic, and no number here describes women.
One thing to do now, from the book's question deck: “What do you assume I think you're looking for?”
Write your prediction down first. Then ask a real person.